Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
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Wednesday, February 22, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that 25% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15 (see trends).
In a potential Election 2012 matchups, the president leads Rick Santorum 46% to 43%. If Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee, the president leads 47% to 41%. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Both GOP hopefuls trail the president among voters under 40 but lead among those over 50. See tracking history for all candidates.
The Michigan GOP Primary remains very close with Santorum up four over Romney. In his weekly syndicated column, Scott Rasmussen shows how the Michigan primary is a critical test for Santorum and Romney. In Arizona, which also votes next Tuesday, Romney leads by eight. Nationally, it’s Santorum 39%, Romney 27% with Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul far behind.
Overall, 50% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) at least somewhat disapprove.
Just 29% of voters nationwide favor subsidies for electric cars.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) are at least somewhat concerned that efforts to identify and deport illegal immigrants will also end up violating the civil rights of some U.S. citizens. However, 83% say that before receiving government services, residents should be required to prove they are legally allowed to be in the United States.
Just 53% believe their home is worth more than they paid for it.
That’s little changed since December but down 27 points since the summer of 2008. Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe their home is worth more than the mortgage.
The Generic Congressional Ballot
is a toss-up, with the GOP holding just a one-point advantage.
Fifty-three percent (53%) favor repeal of the president’s health care law and 50% believe it is at least somewhat likely to be repealed.
A review of Scott Rasmussen’s new book
says that voters are “more likely to [take on the Political Class] if they read this book.” In THE PEOPLE’S MONEY, Rasmussen asserts that “America’s Political Class wants to govern like its 1775, a time when kings were kings and consent of the governed didn’t matter. Given a choice between serving the voters and bailing out their friends, America’s politicians had little hesitation.”
Mark Hemingway’s review adds that Rasmussen “handles the policy details in a way that can be clearly comprehended by citizens newly recruited to the budget wars while still leaving grizzled policy nerds plenty to chew on.” Order THE PEOPLE’S MONEY: How Voters Will Balance the Budget and Eliminate the Federal Debt.
If you’d like Scott Rasmussen to speak to your organization, meeting, or conference, please contact Premiere Speakers. You can also follow Scott on Facebook. The Wall Street Journal
has called him “America’s leading insurgent pollster” and The Washington Post
says Scott is a “driving force in American politics.”
Scott’s earlier book, In Search of Self-Governance
, dissects the issues brought about by an “unholy alliance” between government and big business.
The author notes, “Self-governance is about far more than politics and government. It requires a lot of the American people, and it has nothing to do with the petty partisan games played by Republicans and Democrats. Unfortunately, even after more than 200 years of success, there is an urgent need to defend this most basic of American values.”
It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. Obama’s numbers are almost always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That’s because some of the president’s most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote. It is also important to check the details of question wording when comparing approval ratings from different firms.
Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our “unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy.”
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large (see methodology). Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 34.7% Republicans, 33.6% Democrats, and 31.8% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly larger advantage for the Republicans.
A review of last week’s key polls is posted each Saturday morning.
To get a sense of longer-term trends, check out our month-by-month review of the president’s numbers.
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