Politisite provides projections based on a Momentum modality similar to that used in projecting stock prices. Politisite does NOT endorse any candidate during the primary process. Further, we do not receive funding from any political campaign. Having said that, here are our projections for the Arizona Primary for Tuesday February 28, 2012
- Mitt Romney – 43% ( +15.7)
- Rick Santorum – 27.3%
- Newt Gingrich –17.3%
- Ron Paul –9.7%
Romney has flat Momentum. Santorum is trending slightly downward. Gingrich is trending upward. Ron Paul has slight upward pressure. We believe that Romney will win easily by fifteen percentage points. We expect the outcome of this election to be as stated with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points.